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> A year or two from now he will run this video to admit he was wrong about something

I only wish this was more normalised in our society.


> Impressive? Sure. But you trained “Cyber” versions of LLMs and hyped them. How much more impressive is this, compared to developing GTA-clones one shot? Not much more.

Such a well written piece.

Have you seen the US military budget? When you run a war empire you frame problems as a war on something. That's the way to get around the valuation bubble they've created in time for the IPO. It's that or throwing in a 100T TAM on their S-1 and making SpaceX look like an honest valuation compared to them.


Any shows you recommend?

I've watched Old Enough! and got hooked on how unpretentious the idea and video editing feels compared to regular Western stuff.


Hard Gay?

/s


This is supposed to be a replacement for the v4 pro model.


So it is price increment in the end, if new pro model comes with the new pro price.


This is the scary part as this is not entirely true if you care to look into it.

https://youtu.be/HXlcMbxzz0U?is=XdvcNJKGJxEwlB7I


The thing about $1.65T being "hidden from the balance sheets" is overblown. How do we know about that money if it's hidden? Because it isn't - it's in other public SEC documents, which the $1.65T claim also slightly misinterprets.

https://finterm.ai/blog/big-tech-hidden-debt-fact-check.html is one good explainer on that.


Could you give me an example of a similar task you asked Fable and a different model to do where Fable did a better job?

I have a hard time getting models like GLM 5.3 to not perform on my tasks but I might be biased.


Changes in a complex codebase. Opus can do it, but needs more handholding. Making the plan with fable and let opus implement it worked out well.


That's actually not quite what I was asking for.


Depends on how you measure your ROI and how it could be different from how your company measure their ROI.

The problem with optimizations is that you are competing in prioritization with other features. Reducing the baseline cost always has a limit of zero, while the upside from new features is infinite according to your leadership and investors, so it is very hard to argue against.

In general it's challenging to convince a non-tech crowd of the importance of addressing any tech debt unless you can demonstrate a tangible financial impact on the product, such as delayed contracts or customer churn.


You’re assuming performance has zero impact on customer retention, spending, etc which is demonstrably false. Further future costs aren’t bound by the current customer base or fiscal quarter.

Insufficiently optimized code kills companies in highly competitive markets.


Nobody’s assuming that. A well-functioning business compares opportunity costs with all those considerations in mind.


“Reducing the baseline cost always has a limit of zero, while the upside from new features is infinite according to your leadership and investors, so it is very hard to argue against.”


> The problem with optimizations is that you are competing in prioritization with other features.

I think companies often over-indulge in features nobody wants, needs, or cares about. I quit my previous company because they were forcing us to build something that had single digit weekly active users. It was utterly pointless, driven entirely by some half baked navel gazing harebrained ideas about what a "nontechnical user" might want. But nobody ever asked any real users.

I estimate the company probably blew the greater part of $10M on this bullshit, not counting opportunity cost.

> In general it's challenging to convince a non-tech crowd of the importance of addressing any tech debt unless you can demonstrate a tangible financial impact on the product, such as delayed contracts or customer churn.

People like that are problematic not just because they don't understand tech debt. They also don't understand products. There are shitloads of people in the industry who market themselves as some kind of mystical gurus, are able to deliver impressive monologues talking over everyone on the zoom call, but contribute nothing else than a sense of urgency and frustration. If you find yourself in their company, better to just leave.


> People like that are problematic not just because they don't understand tech debt. They also don't understand products. There are shitloads of people in the industry who market themselves as some kind of mystical gurus, are able to deliver impressive monologues talking over everyone on the zoom call, but contribute nothing else than a sense of urgency and frustration.

I can easily picture both tech and non-tech individuals acting this way; in the end egocentric people and employees with a herd mentality exist in both groups. I'm old enough to have participated in several major version rewrites aimed at resolving performance and technical problems. More often than I care to admit, these projects failed, often after several delays, and didn't show any real improvement over the existing system, apart from hopeful conversations about the future and tech presentations at local conferences.


I agree rewrites are generally not productive unless the original system is so far gone that it makes sense to start over.. but that's actually very rare.

The thing I think is absolutely ridiculous is when organizations can't figure out how to get work done which improves the performance (cost, efficiency, speed, etc) of their existing features. "Prove to me it has {financial, customer, etc} impact" is just how managers who care about nothing other than rolling out new features prevent the work from being done. It makes sense, they get promoted when their underlings deliver some splashy new thing. But it's an incredibly stupid way to build software. If the thing was worth building in the first place, surely it's worth making it good, right?


The key insight here is being the top used model on opencode while being fully served on Chinese chips. The free price itself might be just a flex or marketing budget.


This is so true and one of the reasons why I think the "Linux Desktop" will always fail as long as it's marketed as "Linux Desktop".

There's a clear market for "good enough" Linux boxes for coders and casual Chromebook-style usage (Steam Machine style) that's constantly bullied by the "you should read the manpage before posting" crowd.


It's fascinating to me how discussions related even slightly to DHH always devolve into personal attacks for no apparent reason.

Such weird mob antics.


Hey, guy's earned an acronym. Already says something ...


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