the model in GP is useful, but it doesn't account for the unequal distribution of information. e.g. some people are perceiving the cycle at a different phase and can be convinced to work "harder, not smart" for an interval to shift their position within the cycle.

E.g. "Let's get really good at microservices so we don't need a monolith." IOW there's no consensus about when to dig in and go deeper. And even if there was, some people would leverage that information and try to pull ahead of the others digging in.